Kimmunications

Am I on target with target date funds?

Lately, I have been getting a lot of questions about target date funds. No wonder. Target date funds are being touted as the answer to our retirement investing conundrum. They are being proposed as the default choice in a 401(k) plan. And they are sprouting up like weeds. So should you put your money in a target date fund?

 

The short answer is ... only as a last resort. But first things first.

 

A target date fund is a mutual fund with an asset allocation tied to your target retirement date. If you think you will retire in 20 years, you would pick a 2030 target date fund, with 2030 being roughly the year you plan to retire.

 

These funds are really funds of funds. The fund manager chooses other funds, from the same fund family, in percentages that make up a reasonable asset allocation given your time until retirement. It is the fund managers job to adjust those percentages for you automatically as your retirement date approaches, becoming progressively more conservative. These funds typically hold a mix of stocks, bonds and cash and will often include an allocation to foreign equities as well.

 

It's no wonder I have been getting so many questions about target date funds lately. In 2000, there were only 23 target date funds in existence, with just about $8 billion in assets. Today, there are over 250 target date funds, with $160 billion in assets, and more being brought to market every day. But should you plunk your retirement savings in a target date fund and forget it?

 

I don't think so and here is why …

 

1. One size doesn't fit all, with any investment.

2. Target date funds are too conservative.

3. There are better ways.

 

Target date funds are being touted as one stop shopping. Just pick a retirement date, pick the fund with your retirement year in the name, and let the fund manager do the rest. But does it really make sense that the CEO of a company should have the same asset allocation as a clerk in his Accounting Department? Not likely!

 

An investor has to put together an asset allocation based on his or her long-term objectives, risk tolerance, time horizon and temperament. You choose the combination of investments that has the highest probability of satisfying each of those criteria over your anticipated time horizon. It is possible that is a single investment but often it is not.

 

My biggest gripe with target date funds is they are too conservative. Let's make some assumptions about your retirement. The first is your retirement will last thirty years. That is the joint life expectancy of a 65 year old, non-smoking couple.

 

Second is that inflation will average 3.5% over that 30 years. Forget for a moment that seniors experience inflation at a greater rate than the nation as a whole, largely because of the cost of healthcare. We'll just use the historical average.

 

Third is that you will begin withdrawing funds from your portfolio at the rate of 4% a year. And fourth, let's assume your marginal tax bracket will be 25%. Now, what is the return required over your 30 years in retirement to pay Uncle Sam, pay you, and still get enough growth in your portfolio to keep up with inflation?

 

The answer is 10%. That is (4 + 3.5) / (1-.25) or your withdrawal rate plus inflation divided by one minus your marginal tax rate. Which means we have a gap. Our current way of thinking about investments is too conservative.

 

If you model the traditional 60%/40% retirement portfolio, the expected rate of return over 30 years is only 8%. A 4% withdrawal rate may give me a high probability I won't run out of money but it almost assures that I won't be able to buy anything with the money I have left. In order to protect against conversion risk, target date funds, because they are based on asset allocation models designed for our parents and grandparents, get too conservative too fast.

 

What worked for previous generations will not work for ours. We are the first generation solely responsible for funding our own retirement. Unfortunately, no one told us that until, for many of us, it was too late. On top of that, we are living longer. Life expectancy has increased by ten years. That is both good news and bad news. That's ten more years to travel, play golf and spend quality time with our family. But it is also ten more years without a paycheck.

 

Like it or not, we have to come to grips with the idea that our investment time horizon isn't our retirement date. Our time horizon extends over our entire lifetime. Moreover, it seems plainly obvious to me our lifestyle in retirement is going to be a function the amount of our portfolio we leave in stocks. Unless you are one of the few with more than enough money, that is the only way our portfolio can keep up with inflation, taxes, and still support a reasonable lifestyle over 30 years.

 

Target date funds don't do that. They are by nature too conservative.

 

My regular readers and radio show listeners know I don't like mutual funds, as a rule. I especially don't like actively managed mutual funds because their high fees guarantee over time you will under-perform the market itself. The only time I would ever use a mutual fund is in an employer-sponsored retirement account, like a 401(k) or 403(b) and that is just because I don't have a choice.

 

Most plans are adding target date funds as an investment option. Should you choose it?

 

Only as a last resort. I believe a well-thought out asset allocation of low-cost index funds, like the one in our 401(k) course, is the much better plan. But if your plan doesn't offer low-cost index funds, or you aren't willing to spend the time and money required to learn how to maximize your 401(k), (which is minimal BTW), then target date funds are far better than just picking the funds with the best historical performance and/or allocating between stocks and bonds based on what you think the market is going to do. That is a sure fire way to waste your retirement funds.

 

Bottom line on target date funds … they aren't the panacea the fund industry would like us to think they are. Do the work. You can do better.

 

Kim Snider Financial Communications makes no representation that the information and opinions expressed are accurate, complete or current. The opinions expressed should not be construed as financial, legal, tax, or other advice and are provided for informational purposes only. Call 866-952-0100 to request the Snider Investment Method™ Owner's Manual, which includes a description of the Snider Investment Method, investment objectives, risks, suitability and other information. Please read and consider carefully before investing. All investments are subject to risk, including possible loss of principal. Individual results may vary. Individual performance depends on individual savings, investment time frame and market conditions. Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market.

 

 

The World Would Be a Better Place If There Were More Rich Women

That is the message of Kim Kiyosaki and I couldn't agree more. Kim asked me to be a guest on her PBS special, entitled Finding the Rich Woman In You. It is a fund-raiser for Channel 8 KAET in Phoenix and will air for the first time tonight, Thursday December 6 at 7:00 PM Phoenix time and again at 9:00 PM.

 

The show is an extension of Kim's book, Rich Woman, which we talked to her about, several times, on our radio show and podcasts. The TV show was aimed primarily at women because women have a special need when it comes to financial education. Some statistics from the show:

 

• 47% of women in the U.S. over the age of 50 are single - meaning most of these women have to take care of themselves financially
• After a divorce, a woman's standard of living drops an average of 73%
• In 2006, more women declared bankruptcy than graduated college
• Of the elderly living in poverty, 3 out of 4 are women - yet 80% of these women were not poor when their husbands were alive.
• The average age of a widow: 56 years old

 

That being said, the core messages we developed in the show are applicable to men and women alike and they should be familiar to any of my readers. They are:

 

• You are uniquely qualified to manage your own money. Why would you turn over your security to anyone else - whether it be a spouse or a financial expert?
• Becoming a successful investor is not difficult. Anyone can do it. It doesn't require hours and hours of work. The biggest hurdle is getting over the intimidation factor.
• Savvy investors do not view declining markets as a negative. A true investor, as opposed to a short-term speculator, is largely unaffected by market declines and more likely sees them as a buying opportunity. Who doesn't love a sale?
• Everyone is a genius in bull markets. It is the volatile or declining market where financial education really pays off and there is no better time to learn than now.
• And of course, cash flow investing makes far more sense for most people than capital appreciation investing.

 

One point we didn't talk about in the show, but that I would add, is that the difference between a successful investor and everyone else is the actions they take in times like these. Right now, a successful investor is avoiding the losses of capital that amateurs are taking, buying value, and setting themselves up to do even better when the market turns north again. Successful investors love these kind of markets. Amateurs fear them.

 

There were a million more things we could of talked about on the show. It was amazing how fast the time went. Some people even suggested we could do it as a weekly show because there was so much more ground to cover than what we got to.

 

For now, the show will only air in the Phoenix market but everyone involved is hopeful that it will be very successful - raising lots of money for KAET - and will then be picked up nationally. The goal for this show is to raise $100,000 locally for PBS. So for those of you in the Phoenix area, I would encourage you to tune in and pledge if you are so inclined to give money to a good cause. (I bet they would take your money even if you don't live in the Phoenix area.)

 

Why would you want to do that? I should mention that our 401(k) course, How To Turn Your 401(k) Into a Million Dollar Nest Egg, is included in the $125 and $365 pledge packages along with Kim's book (Kim Kiyosaki, not me - mine is still not finished!), their Cash Flow game and some other stuff. Our course alone sells for $297 on our web site and I know their Cash Flow game is $195. That is a great value in financial education in addition to supporting a good cause.

 

My involvement in the show was really a last minute thing. I understand Kim Kiyosaki and Richard Taylor have been working with PBS on this for months. They decided to add guests as a last minute idea and I got the call a couple days before Thanksgiving. We had dress rehearsal a week ago today, taped last Friday, and it goes on the air tonight!

 

The other two guests and I were, at one point, sitting in the front row of the studio audience while Kim was doing one of her stand-ups. When the cameras would stop, both Antoni, the hairstylist, and Kelli, the makeup artist, would walk over to us and fix a stray hair or add more powder to our faces. I heard one of the women behind me say to the person next to her, "Wouldn't it be fun to be fussed over like that?" Yeah … it really was!

 

I have been interviewed for TV before but I have never done an entire TV show, or seen how it is put together. I have to admit, I had a blast. And I love that it was for a good cause ... and aimed at an underserved market. Oprah, are you listening? My phone number is 214-245-5236!

 

UPDATE: (12/7/07) The show aired last night and did VERY well. It raised $60K for PBS Arizona - number one for this pledge drive! More than Wayne Dyer and 4X Suze Orman! Whoo Hoo! I am told it will re-air this Monday night, December 9th.

 

Kim Snider, Kim Snider Financial Communications and/or Snider Advisors make no representation that the information and opinions expressed are accurate, complete or current. The opinions expressed should not be construed as financial, legal, tax, or other advice and are provided for informational purposes only. Individual performance depends on individual savings, investment time frame and market conditions. Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market. Call 866-952-0100 to request the Snider Investment Method™ Owner's Manual, which includes a description of the Snider Investment Method, investment objectives, risks, suitability and other information. Please read and consider carefully before investing. All investments are subject to risk including possible loss of principal.

The Marvelous Miss Mary

I was on the phone the other day with the nicest lady. Her name was Mary. She had called in to my radio program the previous Saturday. I had given her my number and told her to call me so I could give her the name of a good, fee-only financial planner because that was what she really needed.

 

Mary had worked hard her entire life. Her job wasn't glamorous. It didn't pay anywhere near the top of the pay scale, but you can tell she did it with pride. She started putting money in her employer's retirement plan back in the 1980s, when they first came out, and she had been contributing religiously ever since.

 

Her house is paid for and she has saved a hundred thousand dollars or so outside her 401(k). She will also get a small pension and Social Security. She is getting ready to retire at the end of the year. She told me she has always read as much as she could about personal finance. She wanted a financial planner who could help her, not tell her what to do. (You go girl!)

 

We chatted about mutual funds. Some of her friends, she said, were afraid of the stock market because they didn't want to lose money. But she understood, from watching her 401(k) all those years, that sometimes it goes up and sometimes it goes down, but over the time she has had it, it has gone up a lot! You just have to leave it be.

 

Unlike most of her generation, she understood intuitively that she had to focus on not outliving her money rather than the fear of losing it. She knew she had to keep investing in the stock market for her nest egg to keep up with inflation. She is the exception, not the rule in this regard.

 

Mary listens to me on the radio all the time, she says. The idea of that makes my heart skip a beat and brings a smile to the corners of my lips. I love the idea that I might have helped her in my own small way.

 

She brought up the Snider Investment Method™. She never graduated from high school, she told me, and she doesn't know how to use a computer - yet. She is thinking about taking some courses now she is retired.

 

"I just wish I was smart enough to do your Snider Method!"

 

"Miss Mary", I said, "I can tell you one thing for sure. After what you have told me today, what is holding you back is not lack of smarts. When it comes to your money, you have accomplished what only 20% of people ever do - financial success. If you ever set your mind to learning the computer well enough, I am CERTAIN you could do the Snider Method. Look what you have already learned on your own!"

 

As you can probably tell, I thought Miss Mary was just marvelous! I could have talked to her all day. It just goes to show, investing and personal finance is mostly common sense … and they don't teach you that in school or hand it out with your promotions!

 

What Miss Mary teaches us is anybody can be a good investor and a good steward of their money.

Kim Snider Financial Communications makes no representation that the information and opinions expressed are accurate, complete or current. The opinions expressed should not be construed as financial, legal, tax, or other advice and are provided for informational purposes only. All investments are subject to risk, including possible loss of principal. Call 866-952-0100 to request the Snider Investment Method™ Owner's Manual, which includes a description of the Snider Investment Method, investment objectives, risks, suitability and other information. Please read and consider carefully before investing.

The Courageous Investor

Mike was a caller on my radio show Saturday afternoon. Four or five years ago, he had gotten very aggressive in his allocations in his 401(k). Now that the market had been going up for awhile, he was nervous and wanted to know should he change his allocations to something more conservative?

 

What Mike was suggesting is called market timing and it is doomed to failure. Stock picking and market timing are by-products of an obsession with day-to-day performance which is a sure way to get the opposite result.

 

One of the lessons I teach is that most of us are getting the cart before the horse. We pick our investments based on their performance and hope they will meet our objectives.

 

The path to successful investing lies in doing it the other way around. First, you must decide what your objectives are. What is your money's higher purpose? Why are you putting it to work? What do you want it to help you achieve?

 

This is not about numbers. Your objective isn't an 8% return or $1 million dollars in the bank. This is about what you are able to do. This is about being able to do what you want, when you want, without worrying how you are going to pay for it. And most likely, it isn't just one thing. It may be several.

 

I have one client in his mid-50's, his peak earning years, who took two years off to do missionary work in Africa. I have another client who left his job to take care of his two sons full time. Now he is getting his teaching certificate so he can be on the same schedule as his boys as they grow older.

 

Maybe your goals are a little bit more mundane. You just want to have enough money to be able to quit working some time before you die. That's OK. But I would encourage you to allow yourself to get creative and think big. What really lights your fire? What is the one thing you secretly want to do if you had enough money and enough courage? That one thing is your money's higher purpose.

 

	"In the long run, you only hit what you aim at." - Henry David Thoreau   "Aim at heaven and you will get earth thrown in. Aim at earth and you get neither." - C.S. Lewis

 

The cool thing about approaching money this way - even if you don't hit what you aim at - if you aim high enough, even a miss will put you in a pretty good position. So why not aim high?

 

Once you understand your money's higher purpose, then you have two other factors to consider before you can even begin to think about which investments to put your money to work in. You must also consider where you fall on the risk/reward continuum and your temperament.

 

Investments stretch along a risk-reward continuum, from those that produce a guaranteed return to those that offer the chance, but not the promise, of a return. Generally, the higher the return, the higher the risk, although it should be noted that risk can take many different forms. It is not always the loss of capital. That is where your temperament comes in.

 

What sort of investor are you? Are you patient or impatient? Do you stick with an idea that makes sense or do you change philosophy every time what you are doing begins to feel the slightest bit uncomfortable? How hands on are you? How much time do you want to spend managing your investments? These are all questions of temperament.

 

Only when you are crystal clear on these three things can you begin to choose the investment philosophy that is best suited to your specific needs. And yet, when I ask a room full of investors how many can tell me what their money's higher purpose is, only 1 in 10 typically raise their hand.

 

When you get clear about these things before choosing an investment, questions like Mike's go away. Investment strategies and specific investment vehicles are chosen based on their ability to achieve your objectives with the appropriate amount of risk and no more, while be mindful of the fact that your investment strategy must fit your temperament.

 

When you take this top-down approach, your investments - in other words, your money's place of employment - should only change when your money's higher purpose changes. And that, I shouldn't need to tell you, should occur very infrequently.

 

	"Courage is never to let your actions be influenced by your fears." - Arthur Koestler

 

An investor who takes this approach is a courageous investor. A courageous investor never changes course based on fits of fear or greed. The beauty is, the level of commitment to the investment approach matches the level of commitment to the objective. Provided you are committed to your money's highest purpose, the rest becomes a moot point.

 

In the new movie release, Georgia Rule, Lindsay Lohan's character, Rachel, has an exchange with Simon (Dermot Mulroney) about the difference between right and wrong and a lie and the truth. She turns to him and asks sarcastically, "How does it feel to be so sure of yourself?" Without missing a beat, he shrugs his shoulder and replies with complete sincerity, "Yeah, it's pretty good."

 

That is the feeling you get when your investments are based on a higher purpose instead of something facile like growth, income or capital preservation or base like a millions of dollars or 50% return. Wouldn't you like to feel that sure of yourself on a topic that makes some of the smartest people feel so uncertain?

 

Learn more about how to put your money to work consistent with its highest purpose in my upcoming class, "The Family CFO's Guide to Investing." I am offering this class in June only - once in Frisco, once in Fort Worth and once in Dallas. The best part is, like this article, it is free. Check the dates and get registered at kimsnider.com.

 

And as always, feel free to leave your thoughts and comments below.

 

Kim Snider, Kim Snider Financial Communications, Chronim Investments and/or Snider Advisors make no representation that the information and opinions expressed are accurate, complete or current. The opinions expressed should not be construed as financial, legal, tax, or other advice and are provided for informational purposes only. Call 866-952-0100 to request the Snider Investment Method™ Owner's Manual, which includes a description of the Snider Investment Method, investment objectives, risks, suitability and other information. Please read and consider carefully before investing. All investments are subject to risk including possible loss of principal.

The Need For Financial Education

I write a lot about the need for financial education - not surprising given I am in the financial education business!

 

The Employee Benefits and Research Institute (EBRI) published an issue brief this month which looks at how new retirees are doing financially in retirement. The study finds that many Americans age 65 - 75 appear to be starting of rather well. 53% have experienced no decline in household income and 71% had no decline in total wealth. That is good news.

 

The bad news is those who are losing money are losing it fast.

 

There was a roughly 50 percent median decline in total wealth from 1992–2004 among those who experienced a decline, and the median average annual decline in total wealth surpassed 5 percent for this group — putting them at significant risk of running out of money in retirement. Those seeing a decline in financial wealth are posting a median decrease at approximately twice the level that research suggests is advisable. Although the HRS dataset does not allow detailed analysis, this is probably due to excessive spending rather than investment loss.

 

I am going to make a bit of a leap here and suggest the most likely reason these retirees are spending down their nest egg so quickly is not extravagant spending but because they didn't have enough to support a retirement income in the first place.

 

The study also finds a clear correlation between those with regular income from pensions and financially successful retirements. Of course, an increasingly smaller percentage of Americans will have the benefit of pension income in the future as employers shift from traditional pension plans to 401(k) type plans.

 

The report concludes that many individuals need to learn much more about managing assets in retirement. The data suggests that how individuals manage their individual account assets—especially IRAs—will be a critical factor.

 

Current data indicate that many Americans appear to be on the right track for financing their retirement, have successfully managed their assets to date, and could likely have a reasonably comfortable retirement. However, other Americans appear to be in for a trying time in retirement—not just because of insufficient savings, but also because of their apparent lack of money management skills to properly utilize whatever retirement assets they do have.

 

The Snider Investment Method workshop is for people who have accumulated at least $25,000 in retirement savings, either in their IRA or taxable accounts. The goal of the Snider Investment Method is to grow the amount of income your portfolio can generate while you are young and then give you the means of harvesting it when you retire.

 

But what about all those people who have the majority of their retirement savings locked up in 401(k), 401(b) or SIMPLE plans? It isn't as much as is held in IRA's but still - it is a lot. For many people, their 401(k) will be the foundation of their retirement savings. It is critically important that you make the right decisions in your 401(k) from the get-go to maximize it's benefit later on.

 

That is why we created our newest course, How To Turn Your 401(k) Into A Million Dollar Nest Egg.

 

Our new course is a system, like the Snider Investment Method, for picking from among the different funds available in your 401(k), 403(b) or SIMPLE plan, deciding how much to allocate to each, what to do in a brokerage window, and how to rebalance. It also gives you guidelines for how much to contribute, the real skinny on company stock, loans and hardship withdrawals, what to do when you leave your employer and how to make your money last once you stop working.

 

If you read my blog or have heard me speak, you know I don't like mutual funds. I think it is a travesty that we are limited, unless you are one of the lucky few with a brokerage window, to mutual funds when the 401(k) and similar type plans are the cornerstone of our retirement system. Furthermore, I think it is particularly problematic that the people responsible for putting these plans together, namely HR folks, probably don't know beans about investing. As a result, the choices we get are bunch of horribly over-priced, under-performing actively managed funds.

 

That being said, it is no use tilting at windmills. Until the system changes, you have to do the best with the choices you are given. In spite of all the problems with 401(k) plans, I still believe that every person with an employer sponsor plan should contribute as much as they possibly can. The tax benefit outweighs the negatives and the company match, if you have one, makes it a no-brainer.

 

The question I have been asked most often over the years is what to do with retirement money that can't be invested using the Snider Method? So this course is our answer to that question. My plan is 1) to teach people how to maximize the many choices they must make in their employer sponsored plan for as long as they have it 2) give them enough information to know if their choices are really awful and encourage them to go pitch a fit to management and 3) give them a better alternative in the Snider Investment Method as soon as they are able to roll their 401(k) fund out into an IRA when they leave their employer.

 

F you have a 401(k) or other similar type plan and you are baffled by the fund choices and all the terminology, I hope you will take our new online course. You can watch the free preview here.

 

SOURCE:

 

1. Craig Copeland. "How Are New Retirees Doing Financially In Retirement?" EBRI Issue Brief Number 302; February, 2007.

http://www.ebri.org/pdf/briefspdf/EBRI_IB_02-20071.pdf

 

Kim Snider, Kim Snider Financial Communications, Chronim Investments and/or Snider Advisors make no representation that the information and opinions expressed are accurate, complete or current. The opinions expressed should not be construed as financial, legal, tax, or other advice and are provided for informational purposes only. Call 866-952-0100 to request the Snider Investment Method™ Owner's Manual, which includes a description of the Snider Investment Method, investment objectives, risks, suitability and other information. Please read and consider carefully before investing. All investments are subject to risk including possible loss of principal.

 

The True Cost of Active Management

Stock mutual funds come in one of two flavors: active or passive. Actively managed mutual funds are run by fund managers who buy and sell stocks trying to beat the returns of some benchmark index like the S&P 500. Passively managed funds, also known as index funds, are run by computers. Instead of trying to beat the average, they try to be the average, by buying enough of the stocks in a given index to mimic its performance almost exactly.

 

Individual investors overwhelmingly choose the more expensive actively managed funds in spite of over-whelming evidence they are inferior to index funds. Over the past five years, the S&P 500 has beaten 71.4% of large-cap funds, the S&P MidCap 400 has outperformed 79.7% of mid-cap funds, and the S&P SmallCap 600 has outpaced 77.5% of small-cap funds.

 

So what exactly are you paying for when you buy an actively managed mutual fund. Not much as it turns out.

 

A recent study by Ross Miller of the State University of New York at Albany titled "True Costs of Active Management in Mutual Funds," splits out the return by that which comes from the movement of the index and that which comes from active management.

 

Using Fidelity's Magellan fund as an example, Miller shows that over 91% of its return comes from "index-hugging". In other words, it comes from the fact that Magellan, like most actively managed funds, has a high percentage of its portfolio invested in stocks that make up its benchmark index. Only 9% of the return comes from stock selection, which is the reason, presumably, you pay a fee over and above what an index fund would charge.

 

Miller then calculates an active expense ratio by calculating how much more funds charge over the levy for an index fund, and assigns this amount to the percentage of the fund that is utilized for active trading. In the case of Magellan, its 0.70% management fee is reduced by 18 basis points (the cost of Fidelity’s index product), which leaves us with 0.52%. When this balance is applied to the 9% of the fund that is actively managed, Magellan is left with an active expense ratio of 5.87%.

 

How much do investors benefit from this small amount of active management? According to Miller, the fund generated negative alpha of over 2.6% per year from 2002-2004. Investors paid dearly, in both expenses and trading losses, for that little sliver of Magellan.

 

These results were unfortunately much more the rule than they were the exception. Active expense ratios averaged around 5.2%, and market-beating results from trading around the index were few and far between.

 

Miller's study finds these results are typical. The average active expense ratio was 5.2% and the active management portion of the portfolio generally dragged down its performance rather than enhancing it. This is consistent with the data on active versus passive funds published by Standard & Poor's which shows index funds have consistently beat actively managed funds over time.

 

So the long and the short of it is actively managed funds perform worse over time and cost more. So why do we continue to buy them. I believe it is because actively managed funds are sold. 401(k) plan administrators, brokers and financial advisors make big commissions on actively managed funds and little if any commission on an index fund.

 

In fact, in a glaring example of the conflict of interest that exists in the industry's compensation system, the worse a fund is, the more it is likely to pay the advisor who sells it. Think about it, if I am an advisor and I have two funds to sell - one has gotten exactly the same return as the market year after year for the last ten years, and the other has underperformed it by 4% year after year, all things being equal, which fund am I going to sell to my client?

 

But all things aren't equal are they? Because people are buying that fund. The reason they are buying that fund is Company B gives Mr. Financial Advisor a huge financial incentive to sell his fund. Otherwise, who in their right mind would ever buy it?

 

And what about all these 401(k), 403(b) and SIMPLE plans that are supposed to be the lynchpin of our retirement? Why are those plans filled with actively managed mutual funds? Why does the federal government's retirement plan use index funds but ours is filled with under-performing actively managed funds? Why do finance and economics professors overwhelming adhere to indexing strategies with their own money but Wall Street continues to sell us over-priced, under-performing actively-managed equity funds?

 

OK. Did you hear that sound? That was me getting off my soapbox.

 

But it really makes me mad. I believe in free markets - but to me, this seems to be a case where free markets don't work right. How does an inferior product that costs more continue to attract more dollars than the superior product? I just don't get it.

 

The only thing I can figure out is that it wouldn't unless investors get some other need met by investing in actively managed funds. It is obviously some emotional need. It certainly isn't logical.

 

What do you think? Do you own actively managed funds and if so why? Do you still believe they are a better investment than index funds? I would like to hear from you. Leave your thoughts and comments below.

UPDATE (3/6/07)- Ross Miller sent me the full version of his paper, "Measuring the True Cost of Active Management by Mutual Funds", published in this quarter's Journal of Investment Management. He was also kind enough to include an even newer paper focused specifically on the cost of active management in Fidelity's Magellan fund, called "Stansky's Monster: A Critical Examination of Fidelity Magellan's 'Frankenfund."

 

SOURCE: (direct quotes are indented and highlighted)

 

1. Ben Warwick. "The True Costs of Active Management." Investment Advisor February 2007; p 36.

http://investmentadvisor.com/article.php?article=7432

 

2. "Standard & Poor's Indices Versus Active Funds Scorecard, Fourth Quarter 2006." Standard & Poor's 17 January 2007.

http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/index/SPIVA_2006_Q4-sc.pdf

 

Kim Snider, Kim Snider Financial Communications, Chronim Investments and/or Snider Advisors make no representation that the information and opinions expressed are accurate, complete or current. The opinions expressed should not be construed as financial, legal, tax, or other advice and are provided for informational purposes only. Call 866-952-0100 to request the Snider Investment Method™ Owner's Manual, which includes a description of the Snider Investment Method, investment objectives, risks, suitability and other information. Please read and consider carefully before investing. All investments are subject to risk including possible loss of principal.

 

February 2007 Family CFO Briefing

Investing

 

You gotta love this. In the same vein as the monkey's throwing darts and Rusty, the Longhorn steer that picks stocks by pooping on the stock pages: A subscription web site that provides its subscribers with stock picks for as much as $100 a month invites, in January, 10 Playboy models to participate in an investing contest. When results are tallied toward the end of the year, 40 percent of the bunnies deliver better returns than the S&P 500, compared with just 29 percent of actively managed mutual funds.

 

Investing for Retirement

 

Millions of American women face declining living standards in retirement. Like men, they'll feel the sting of cutbacks on corporate pensions. But women suffer more than men from the high rate of divorce, which can deprive them of savings and income when they need it most. Many also lose benefits and income when they leave work to care for children and they live longer than men. (Los Angeles Times, free registration required)

 

Some brokerage firms make more money on money market spreads than they do on commissions. Most money market sweeps are paying less than 2% in brokerage accounts while money market fund rates are averaging 4.75%. By reinvesting client funds on the open market, brokerage firms are pocketing the difference and making a tidy 2% to 2.5% profit on your money. (Wall Street Journal, subscription required)

 

The Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) reports "IRA Assets Hit Record $3.67 Trillion" fueled by IRA rollovers. Total IRA assets are larger than those in either traditional pension or 401(k) type plans.

 

Another EBRI report, issued in February, reports that 401(k) type plans have become the dominant form of employer sponsored retirement plan. There has been a significant increase in the percentage of family heads with a defined contribution plan (typically a 401(k)-type plan). In 2004, almost 26 percent of family heads who participated in an employment-based retirement plan had a defined benefit (pension) plan only, while 56 percent had a defined contribution (401(k)-type) plan only, while the remaining 18 percent had both a defined benefit and defined contribution plan. This was a significant change from 1992, when 42.3 percent had a defined benefit plan only and 40.8 per-cent had a defined contribution plan only.

 

Big corporations announced 15% more layoffs in January than in December, but the total was down 39% from this time a year ago, according to an unscientific tally of job-cut announcements released Thursday by outplacement firm Challenger Gray & Christmas. (MarketWatch)

 

Congress and government regulators are planning an array of moves to strengthen oversight of 401(k) accounts, which have become the linchpin of retirement savings for millions of Americans but are often burdened by hidden fees that chip away at their value. (Baltimore Sun)

 

MSN Money lists five common blunders people make in their 401(k) plans. (WARNING: shameless self-promotion coming up.) Our new web-based program, How To Turn Your 401(k) Into A Million-Dollar Nest Egg goes much farther than pointing them out. It will tell you step-by-step how to properly manage the many different aspects of your plan so that it can someday provide enough income for you to live comfortably in retirement. Our unique paint-by-numbers approach will tell you exactly which funds available in your plan are the most likely to deliver the best results. It will show you how much to invest and where. We are very proud of this new product because we believe it will help a lot of people who are clueless when it comes to what to do with their 401(k). Stop by our web site for a free preview. (Now back to your regularly scheduled programming.)

 

Housing, Real Estate and Mortgages

 

If you are making accelerated mortgage payments and not contributing the maximum to tax-deferred retirement plans, you are making a big mistake according to a recent paper titled "The Tradeoff Between Mortgage Prepayment and Tax-Deferred Retirement Savings," published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

 

In Dallas County, foreclosure postings are up 24 percent. In Tarrant County, they are up 17 percent. Denton County came up 15 percent and in Collin County they are up 61 percent over this time last year. Dallas and Fort Worth are in the top ten in the nation for foreclosures. Dallas ranks number 5 and Fort Worth is number 7. (CBS 11 local coverage)

 

Debt and Savings

 

• Only 17% stick to their New Year’s resolutions!
• 38% said that losing weight was #1 priority for 2007 followed by spending more time with loved ones
• 24% consider getting out of debt their second most important priority for 2007
• 31% answered that they currently have credit card debt of MORE than $8500 while 40% said they have less than $1000
• 60% said that they could live as they do now for less than 3 months or less if they lost their job tomorrow - while 31% said they could live longer than 6 months
• Nearly ½ of all surveyed don’t know their credit score!  (48%)
• 56% consider ‘viewing their online bank balance’ managing their personal finances
• Nearly ½ of all surveyed do NOT have an emergency fund stashed away (49%)

 

(Note: I don't have a link for this one. The information comes from a press release sent to me by Quicken's PR firm looking for interview opportunities. The firm must not have done a very good job because a Google search turns up zilch. Sorry! I'd give you a link if I could find you one!)

 

I found these statements, without attribution, when I was doing research for a project. Since sources weren’t cited, I can't vouch for their validity but they certainly ring true. Judge for yourself:

 

• Americans currently owe nearly $9 trillion in debt -- accumulating nearly 40% of it in the past five years.
• Over the past four years, Americans have borrowed more against their homes than they've invested.
• Forty percent of new-car buyers still owe money on their trade-in.

 

The previous rings especially true given the following: People once again spent everything they made and then some last year, pushing the personal savings rate to the lowest level since the Great Depression more than seven decades ago.

 

And finally, how's this for perspective? New research into the world's personal wealth finds assets of just $2,200 per adult placed a household in the top half of the world's wealthiest. $61,000 puts you in the top 10% and if you have more than $500,000, the United Nations Study says you are among the richest 1% in the world! Here is the terrifying number. Half the world - nearly 3 billion people - live on less than $2 a day. (MSN Money)

 

Kim Snider, Kim Snider Financial Communications, Chronim Investments and/or Snider Advisors make no representation that the information and opinions expressed are accurate, complete or current. The opinions expressed should not be construed as financial, legal, tax, or other advice and are provided for informational purposes only. Call 866-952-0100 to request the Snider Investment Method™ Owner's Manual, which includes a description of the Snider Investment Method, investment objectives, risks, suitability and other information. Please read and consider carefully before investing. All investments are subject to risk including possible loss of principal.

Brokerage Window Story in BusinessWeek

I received this email from Lauren Young at BusinessWeek. I thought I would pass it on. Please contact her directly if you would like to be interviewed for the story.

 

Hi,

 

I’m doing some research on retirement plans. Do you know anyone who has unlimited investment options available in their company’s 401(k) plan? This option, known as a "brokerage window" or "SDA" for self-directed account, lets 401(k) participants invest in nearly every fund and stock offered by the broker a company uses to administer its plan. Fidelity, Merrill Lynch, and Charles Schwab are some of the companies that offer these accounts.

 

If you (or someone you know) has a brokerage window available--and would be willing to talk about why or why not you have used it--I’d like to chat. I’m curious to hear if you feel overwhelmed by so many choices, or if you think you have a better portfolio than your peers, thanks to a broader range of options.

 

Feel free to forward this. I’d like to interview folks by January 12th.

 

Thanks!

 

Lauren Young, Personal Business Editor

BusinessWeek

1221 Ave. of Americas, 43rd Floor

New York, NY 10020

212-512-2495

lauren_young@businessweek.com

www.businessweek.com

 

http://www.businessweek.com/careers/workingparents/blog/

http://www.businessweek.com/investor/insights/blog/

 

Kim Snider, Kim Snider Financial Communications, Chronim Investments and/or Snider Advisors make no representation that the information and opinions expressed are accurate, complete or current. The opinions expressed should not be construed as financial, legal, tax, or other advice and are provided for informational purposes only. Call 866-952-0100 to request the Snider Investment Method™ Owner's Manual, which includes a description of the Snider Investment Method, investment objectives, risks, suitability and other information. Please read and consider carefully before investing. All investments are subject to risk including possible loss of principal.